Varghese K George’s article in The Hindu titled, “Red fades to saffron in Kerala” dated 29 August 2015 is well written and sheds light on the turmoil facing the CPI(M) and LDF in Kerala.
The BJP’s rise is caste based. The LDF is not able to hold on to their traditional vote base of certain castes. These are being influenced by Sangh based caste organisations and those openly leaning towards the BJP, like the SNDP.
The BJP will not be able to come to power in Kerala, the UDF and the LDF still hold huge blocks of vote. Neither of them will align with the BJP for a coalition government. Other than the CPI, Muslim League, Kerala Congress M, no other party has more than five seats in the assembly.